list4-第7部分
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industry the consequence of the protection will be; that the
internal competition will soon reduce the prices lower than they
had stood at when the importation was free。
But has agriculture at all suffered under these high duties?
Not in the least; it has gained…gained tenfold during the last ten
years。 The demand for agricultural produce has increased。 The
prices of it everywhere are higher。 It is notorious that solely in
consequence of the growth of the home manufactories the value of
land has everywhere risen from fifty to a hundred per cent; that
everywhere higher wages are being paid; and that in all directions
improvements in the means of transport are either being effected or
projected。
Such brilliant results as these must necessarily encourage us
to proceed farther on the system which we have commenced to follow。
Other States of the Union have also proposed to take similar steps;
but have not yet carried them into effect; while; as it would
appear; some other States of the Union only expect to attain
prosperity solely by the abolition of the English duties on grain
and timber; and while (as it is alleged) there are still to be
found influential men who believe in the cosmopolitical system and
distrust their own experience。 Dr Bowring's report gives us most
important explanations on these points as well as on the
circumstances of the German Commercial Union and the tactics of the
English Government。 Let us endeavour to throw a little light on
this report。
First of all; we have to consider the point of view from which
it was written。 Mr Labouchere; President of the board of Trade
under the Melbourne Ministry; had sent Dr Bowring to Germany for
the same purpose as that for which Mr Poulett Thompson had sent him
to France in the year 1834。 Just as it was intended to mislead the
French by concessions in respect of wines and brandies to open
their home market to English manufactured goods; so it was intended
to mislead the Germans to do the same by concessions in respect of
grain and timber; only there was a great difference between the two
missions in this respect; that the concession which was to be
offered to the French had to fear no opposition in England; while
that which had to be offered to the Germans had first to be fought
for in England herself。
Hence the tendency of these two reports was of necessity of
quite a different character。 The report on the commercial relations
between France and England was written exclusively for the French;
to them it was necessary to represent that Colbert had accomplished
nothing satisfactory through his protective regulations; it was
necessary to make people believe that the Eden Treaty was
beneficial to France; and that Napoleon's Continental system; as
well as the then existing French prohibitive system; had been
extremely injurious to her。 In short; in this case it was necessary
to stick closely to the theory of Adam Smith; and the good results
of the protective system must be completely and unequivocally
denied。 The task was not quite so simple with the other report; for
in this; one had to address the English land…owners and the German
Governments at one and the same time。 To the former it was
necessary to say: See; there is a nation which has already in
consequence of protective regulations made enormous advances in her
industry; and which; in possession of all necessary means for doing
so; is making rapid steps to monopolise her own home market and to
compete with England in foreign markets。 This; you Tories in the
House of Lords this; you country squires in the House of
Commons; is your wicked doing。 This has been brought about by your
unwise corn laws; for by them the prices of provisions and raw
materials and the wages of labour have been kept low in Germany。 By
them the German manufactories have been placed in an advantageous
position compared to the English ones。 Make haste; therefore; you
fools; to abolish these corn laws。 By that means you will doubly
and trebly damage the German manufactories : firstly; because the
prices of provisions and raw materials and the wages of labour will
be raised in Germany and lowered in England; secondly; because by
the export of German grain to England the export of English
manufactured goods to Germany will be promoted; thirdly; because
the German Commercial Union has declared that it is disposed to
reduce their duties on common cotton and woollen goods in the same
proportion in which England facilitates the import of German grain
and timber。 Thus we Britons cannot fail once more to crush the
German manufactories。 But the question cannot wait。 Every year the
manufacturing interests are gaining greater influence in the German
Union; and if you delay; then your corn…law abolition will come too
late。 It will not be long before the balance will turn。 Very soon
the German manufactories will create such a great demand for
agricultural produce that Germany will have no more surplus corn to
sell to foreign countries。 What concessions; then; are you willing
to offer to the German Governments to induce them to lay hands on
their own manufactories in order to hinder them from spinning
cotton for themselves; and from encroaching upon your foreign
markets in addition?
All this the writer of the report was compelled to make clear
to the landowners in Parliament。 The forms of the British State
administration permit no secret Government reports。 Dr Bowring's
report must be published; must therefore be seen by the Germans in
translations and extracts。 Hence one must use no expressions which
might lead the Germans to a perception of their true interests。
Therefore to every method which was adapted to influence
Parliament; an antidote must be added for the use of the German
Governments。 It must be alleged; that in consequence of the
protective system much German capital had been diverted into
improper channels。 The agricultural interests of Germany would be
damaged by the protective system。 That interest for its part ought
only to turn its attention to foreign markets; agriculture was in
Germany by far the most important productive industry; for
three…fourths of the inhabitants of Germany were engaged in it。 It
was mere nonsense to talk about protection for the producers; the
manufacturing interest itself could only thrive under foreign
competition : public opinion in Germany desired freedom of trade。
Intelligence in Germany was too universal for a desire for high
duties to be entertained。 The most enlightened men in the country
were in favour of a reduction of duties on common woollen and
cotton fabrics; in case the English duties on corn and timber were
reduced。
In short; in this report two entirely different voices speak;
which contradict one another like two opponents。 Which of the two
must be deemed the true one…that which speaks to the Parliament; or
that which speaks to the German Governments? There is no difficulty
in deciding this point; for everything which Dr Bowring adduces in
order to induce Parliament to lower the import duties on grain and
timber is supported by statistical facts; calculations; and
evidence; while everything that he adduces to dissuade the German
Governments from the protective system is confined to mere
superficial assertions。
Let us consider in detail the arguments by which Dr Bowring
proves to the Parliament that in case a check is not put to the
progress of the German protective system in the way which he
pointed out; the German market for manufactured goods must become
irrecoverably lost to England。
The German people is remarkable; says Dr Bowring; for
temperance; thrift; industry; and intelligence; and enjoys a system
of universal education。 Excellent polytechnic schools diffuse
technical instruction throughout the entire country。
The art of design is especially much more cultivated there than
in England。 The great annual increase of its population; of its
head of cattle; and especially of sheep; proves what progress
agriculture there has achieved。 (The report makes no mention of the
improvement in the value of property; though that is an important
feature; nor of the increase in the value of produce。) The wages of
labour have risen thirty per cent in the manufacturing districts。
The country possesses a great amount of water power; as yet unused;
which is the cheapest of all motive powers。 Its mining industry is
everywhere flourishing; more than at any previous time。 From 1832
up to 1837 the imports of raw cotton have increased from 118;000
centners to 240;000 centners; the imports of cotton yarn from
172;000 centners to 322;000 centners; the exports of cotton fabrics
from 26;000 centners to 75;000 centners; the number of
cotton…weaving looms in Prussia from 22;000 in 1825 to 32;000 in
1834; the imports of raw wool from 99;000 centners to 195;000
centners; the exports of the same from 100;000 centners to 122;000
centners; the imports of woollen articles from 15;000 centners to
18;000 centners; the exports of the same from 49;000 centners to
69;000 centners。
The manufacture of linen cloths contends with difficulty
against the high duties in England; France; and Italy and has not
increased。 On the other hand; the imports of linen yarn have
increased from 30;000 cent